Suppose They Held a War and Nobody Came : RAND Corporation , October 24 , 2025
From the report: “Allies and partners of the United States in Europe and East Asia are having widespread, significant, systemic, and strategically relevant problems in developing military personnel. None of these countries are immune from the personnel challenges caused by demographic decline, social factors, and economic conditions, at a time when some are seeking to expand their forces. Not all U.S. allies and partners have given enough attention to the similar problems that they face. Their shortages in personnel have direct, indirect, and strategic effects for collective defense in Europe and potential combined defense operations in East Asia, ultimately affecting U.S. interests abroad; these effects deserve further study.
In this report, we propose that critical gaps in partner troop levels may not be inevitable but could be mitigated by moving away from an outdated personnel paradigm detached from modern societies. Variations in personnel patterns are more frequent than popularly believed; they often change over periods shaped by different strategic environments. As we have entered an era of multipolar, great-power competition combined with emerging and disruptive threats, the new strategic landscape calls for a fresh approach to military staffing that differs from that of the post–Cold War era.
In this report, we find the following challenges for foreign militaries:”
Authors - Cormarie, Paul, Dalzell, Stephen, Aoki, Naoko, Danaf, Omar, Gleiman, Jan K.Subjects
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